Monday, August 13, 2007

American Thinker: The Shape of a Hillary-Rudy Race:

American Thinker: The Shape of a Hillary-Rudy Race:

"Current national polls show both Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani
with solid leads for their respective party's nominations. Clinton holds about a
20% lead over Barack Obama in national polls , and is rated by London
odds-makers a near 60% probability to be nominated. Obama has faded a bit as a
serious contender despite his early fund-raising success, following a series of
what appeared to many to be naïve and contradictory statements on foreign policy
issues. Giuliani's lead for the GOP nomination over still unannounced candidate
Fred Thompson has grown to about 10% in recent weeks."


This would be the New York Sentate race all over again. Which would make Hilary happy because she won that election - to be fair she won after Rudy dropped out. It would make Rudy happy because he did drop out of the race, and this would give him a second chance to beat her. What are their strengths and weaknesses?

Rudy is going to talk about the former Clinton administration and how they did so little in his belief to stop terror. He is going to claim that a vote for Hilary is a vote for a defeat in Iraq and a vote to scale back the war on terror. Hilary has a strong position in an area that would normally be a weakness. Rudy can't attack Bill Clinton for his relationships in the White House, because he has his own morally fallen past that is very well known. Hilary is going to paint him as a vote for continuation of the policy and the nature of government that we have had under Bush. Rudy has a strong style of government, and Hilary is going to use his record against him.

Rudy is weak because I think many conservatives don't believe he stands for their ideas. He has a weak stand on guns, which he is trying to strengthen. His stand on gay rights, though he is attempting to inch rightward, is still right of where many want it to be. He is openly pro-choice is a party that has had as one of its foundations a pro-life ideology. I think that many voters on the right won't see that there is a difference between Rudy and Hilary and choose to stay home. For Hilary her weakness is that she has been in the White House before, it is going to be asked if she can really bring change to the country.

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